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Red321
1418178.1
5338176.6
6326129.9
Blue303
5587134.3
4505131.4
449126.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172520100200300500600321303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.10.2
177.6177.8
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
red by 43.8
5587
#14
134.30.0
134.3134.3
Auto19.4
Teleop100.3
End14.5
Second
176.60.5
175.5175.9
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
red by 45.2
4505
#12
131.40.3
131.2131.4
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
Third
6326
#20
129.90.1
129.9129.9
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
red by 3.9
449
#21
126.00.3
125.7126.0
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End14.3