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Red389
1885156.2
1731184.0
4456122.2
Blue234
3455133.4
2537158.1
4242127.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370298100200400500600389234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.00.3
181.6181.9
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
red by 25.9
2537
#10
158.10.6
156.9157.5
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
Second
156.20.2
154.4154.7
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
red by 22.8
3455
#11
133.40.4
132.7133.1
Auto22.1
Teleop100.0
End14.0
Third
4456
#30
122.20.0
121.8121.8
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
blue by 4.8
4242
#16
127.00.8
125.4126.3
Auto17.7
Teleop100.4
End11.6