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Red340
1915105.2
1629179.7
2912111.8
Blue215
4242127.0
290093.0
3455133.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052440100200400500600340215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.712.3
111.5123.9
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
red by 46.3
3455
#11
133.412.5
91.4103.9
Auto22.1
Teleop100.0
End14.0
Second
2912
#23
111.816.3
72.288.4
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
blue by 15.2
4242
#16
127.06.1
103.5109.6
Auto17.7
Teleop100.4
End11.6
Third
1915
#25
105.29.7
81.591.2
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
red by 12.2
2900
#35
93.08.1
77.485.5
Auto14.9
Teleop71.4
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed