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Red111
5830109.6
494984.9
2849125.4
Blue402
2914112.8
1731184.0
2537158.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113490100300400500600111402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2849
#18
125.49.4
100.9110.3
Auto18.4
Teleop94.8
End11.7
blue by 58.6
184.00.7
169.0168.3
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
Second
5830
#19
109.60.3
106.1106.4
Auto12.2
Teleop91.8
End7.9
blue by 48.4
2537
#10
158.111.6
102.7114.3
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
Third
4949
#36
84.98.6
76.585.1
Auto12.7
Teleop66.8
End5.6
blue by 27.9
2914
#15
112.87.3
86.994.2
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed