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Qual 142018 CHS District Greater DC Event co-sponsored by Micron
Red490
116137.5
1389107.0
1111144.7
Blue218
3793115.2
5243117.3
4505131.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273278200250300350400450490218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#17
144.73.8
116.8→120.6
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
red by 13.3
4505
#12
131.46.0
103.7→109.7
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
Second
116
#5
137.50.8
120.6→121.3
Auto15.7
Teleop103.5
End19.9
red by 20.2
5243
#27
117.39.2
101.5→110.6
Auto15.0
Teleop95.8
End4.8
Third
1389
#37
107.00.0
113.3→113.3
Auto15.9
Teleop81.6
End12.6
blue by 8.1
3793
#31
115.29.5
98.8→108.3
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed