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Red363
2421148.4
4505131.4
5587134.3
Blue167
1111144.7
5243117.3
4242127.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280289100150200250350400450363167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.45.8
110.4116.2
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
red by 3.7
1111
#17
144.76.7
120.6127.3
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
Second
5587
#14
134.38.7
108.6117.3
Auto19.4
Teleop100.3
End14.5
red by 7.3
4242
#16
127.00.5
113.2113.7
Auto17.7
Teleop100.4
End11.6
Third
4505
#12
131.42.5
109.7112.2
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
red by 14.2
5243
#27
117.34.6
110.6115.2
Auto15.0
Teleop95.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed