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Red472
1629179.7
2199143.3
1731184.0
Blue152
5338176.6
2912111.8
2537158.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363304100200400500600472152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.01.0
168.5169.5
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
red by 7.3
176.61.4
165.5167.0
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
Second
179.79.6
133.9143.4
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
red by 21.6
2537
#10
158.19.7
114.3124.0
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
Third
2199
#13
143.34.2
111.8116.0
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
red by 31.5
2912
#23
111.88.4
100.9109.3
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed