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Red564
4456122.2
6326129.9
2377165.1
Blue127
449126.0
3455133.4
4638105.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285274100200400500564127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.19.3
119.1128.3
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
red by 31.7
3455
#11
133.47.5
111.7119.3
Auto22.1
Teleop100.0
End14.0
Second
6326
#20
129.95.7
115.1120.8
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
red by 3.9
449
#21
126.00.8
115.5116.3
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End14.3
Third
4456
#30
122.20.4
109.4109.8
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
red by 16.8
4638
#32
105.41.1
115.2116.2
Auto13.6
Teleop80.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed