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Qual 282018 CHS District Greater DC Event co-sponsored by Micron
Red191
3793115.2
1915105.2
2537158.1
Blue279
4821110.7
1123109.9
449126.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288227100150200250350400450500191279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#10
158.13.5
124.0→127.5
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
red by 32.1
449
#21
126.02.2
116.3→114.1
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End14.3
Second
3793
#31
115.20.2
113.2→113.0
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
red by 4.5
4821
#24
110.72.7
96.2→98.9
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
Third
1915
#25
105.22.7
102.8→105.5
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
blue by 4.7
1123
#34
109.90.5
108.8→109.3
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed