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Red179
446495.1
1629179.7
2914112.8
Blue382
2421148.4
2377165.1
225196.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225376100300500600179382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.79.1
143.4152.5
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
blue by 17.1
225
#1
196.86.5
160.5167.0
Auto24.7
Teleop144.7
End28.2
Second
2914
#15
112.80.2
103.4103.2
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
blue by 52.3
165.17.7
128.3136.1
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
Third
4464
#33
95.10.4
103.5103.9
Auto15.3
Teleop73.0
End7.6
blue by 53.2
148.46.7
116.2122.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed