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Red280
4505131.4
1731184.0
1446102.2
Blue156
374890.7
4456122.2
2819101.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3401890100300400500280156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.01.8
169.5171.3
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
red by 61.8
4456
#30
122.21.7
109.8111.5
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
Second
4505
#12
131.44.4
112.2116.6
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
red by 29.6
2819
#26
101.81.5
101.5102.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.2
End1.5
Third
1446
#22
102.20.7
101.6102.3
Auto14.8
Teleop81.4
End5.8
red by 11.5
3748
#38
90.70.6
101.3100.6
Auto14.3
Teleop71.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed