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Red364
5243117.3
1418178.1
290093.0
Blue107
4638105.4
6326129.9
2914112.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251253150200300350364107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.10.7
171.7171.0
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
red by 48.2
6326
#20
129.95.3
120.8126.1
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
Second
5243
#27
117.31.1
115.2116.3
Auto15.0
Teleop95.8
End4.8
red by 4.5
2914
#15
112.80.6
103.2102.5
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
Third
2900
#35
93.04.1
88.784.6
Auto14.9
Teleop71.4
End11.7
blue by 12.4
4638
#32
105.42.1
116.2114.2
Auto13.6
Teleop80.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed