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Red369
2819101.8
1731184.0
4821110.7
Blue271
1629179.7
3793115.2
1389107.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305262100200400500369271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.00.7
172.8173.5
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
red by 4.3
179.74.3
157.9162.2
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
Second
4821
#24
110.71.9
102.5104.4
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
blue by 4.5
3793
#31
115.20.2
111.4111.2
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
Third
2819
#26
101.80.9
103.4104.3
Auto14.2
Teleop83.2
End1.5
blue by 5.2
1389
#37
107.04.2
115.6111.4
Auto15.9
Teleop81.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed