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Red25
374890.7
4638105.4
1446102.2
Blue345
2912111.8
2421148.4
4242127.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21529910040050025345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#32
105.42.2
112.0109.8
Auto13.6
Teleop80.1
End9.5
blue by 42.9
148.44.8
128.2133.0
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
Second
1446
#22
102.21.2
102.9104.1
Auto14.8
Teleop81.4
End5.8
blue by 24.8
4242
#16
127.00.9
112.1113.0
Auto17.7
Teleop100.4
End11.6
Third
3748
#38
90.72.9
99.796.8
Auto14.3
Teleop71.8
End6.8
blue by 21.0
2912
#23
111.81.9
112.8110.9
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed