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Red169
1123109.9
5830109.6
6326129.9
Blue381
4505131.4
1111144.7
1629179.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225378100300500600169381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#20
129.92.4
131.7134.1
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
blue by 49.8
179.73.9
162.2166.1
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
Second
1123
#34
109.90.9
113.7114.5
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End8.9
blue by 34.8
1111
#17
144.74.8
135.6140.4
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
Third
5830
#19
109.61.2
107.5108.7
Auto12.2
Teleop91.8
End7.9
blue by 21.8
4505
#12
131.42.2
121.3123.6
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed