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Red273
2912111.8
116137.5
225196.8
Blue358
5338176.6
2421148.4
1915105.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344298100200400500273358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
196.83.2
175.5178.7
Auto24.7
Teleop144.7
End28.2
red by 20.2
176.61.5
169.0170.4
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
Second
116
#5
137.51.4
128.3129.7
Auto15.7
Teleop103.5
End19.9
blue by 10.9
148.45.1
133.0138.2
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
Third
2912
#23
111.80.9
110.9111.8
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
red by 6.6
1915
#25
105.21.0
105.0103.9
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed