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Red242
290093.0
2421148.4
4456122.2
Blue474
2537158.1
4505131.4
2377165.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228359100200300400500600242474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.44.0
138.2142.2
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
blue by 16.7
165.12.5
149.2151.7
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
Second
4456
#30
122.22.3
116.3118.6
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
blue by 35.8
2537
#10
158.16.5
136.0142.5
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
Third
2900
#35
93.01.6
87.689.3
Auto14.9
Teleop71.4
End11.7
blue by 38.5
4505
#12
131.41.5
123.6125.1
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed