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Red143
1111144.7
3455133.4
4821110.7
Blue468
225196.8
2914112.8
2199143.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262333100200300400500143468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#17
144.73.2
140.4143.5
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
blue by 52.1
225
#1
196.81.5
178.7180.2
Auto24.7
Teleop144.7
End28.2
Second
3455
#11
133.42.0
127.9129.9
Auto22.1
Teleop100.0
End14.0
blue by 9.9
2199
#13
143.31.5
131.5133.0
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Third
4821
#24
110.72.2
106.9109.2
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
blue by 2.1
2914
#15
112.81.0
101.8102.8
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed