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Red346
3455133.4
2912111.8
2199143.3
Blue209
4505131.4
4456122.2
1123109.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289295100150200250350400450500346209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#13
143.33.5
133.0136.5
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
red by 11.9
4505
#12
131.43.2
125.1128.3
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
Second
3455
#11
133.40.0
129.9129.9
Auto22.1
Teleop100.0
End14.0
red by 11.2
4456
#30
122.22.2
118.6120.7
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
Third
2912
#23
111.81.4
111.9110.5
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
red by 1.9
1123
#34
109.90.9
112.8111.9
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed