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Red347
1418178.1
374890.7
6504124.6
Blue383
4821110.7
494984.9
5338176.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332540100200300400500347383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.11.0
172.8173.8
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
red by 1.4
176.60.8
172.0172.7
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
Second
6504
#28
124.60.7
121.7122.3
Auto15.3
Teleop93.4
End17.1
red by 14.0
4821
#24
110.70.2
109.2109.3
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
Third
3748
#38
90.70.5
90.790.2
Auto14.3
Teleop71.8
End6.8
red by 5.8
4949
#36
84.91.8
86.384.5
Auto12.7
Teleop66.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed