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Red199
2421148.4
2819101.8
1111144.7
Blue243
2849125.4
290093.0
2377165.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343253100200300400500600199243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.43.3
142.2145.5
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
blue by 16.7
165.13.9
155.9159.8
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
Second
1111
#17
144.71.5
144.2145.8
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
red by 19.3
2849
#18
125.42.3
119.5121.7
Auto18.4
Teleop94.8
End11.7
Third
2819
#26
101.82.0
106.5104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop83.2
End1.5
red by 8.8
2900
#35
93.01.0
91.092.0
Auto14.9
Teleop71.4
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed