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Red359
2914112.8
1885156.2
2912111.8
Blue173
2961114.1
4456122.2
3793115.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432420100200300400500600359173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.21.7
150.9152.6
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
red by 34.0
4456
#30
122.21.1
120.7121.8
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
Second
2914
#15
112.82.9
105.8108.7
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
blue by 2.4
3793
#31
115.21.6
113.1114.7
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
Third
2912
#23
111.80.3
110.5110.8
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
blue by 2.3
2961
#29
114.10.3
115.4115.0
Auto11.7
Teleop92.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed