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Red179
4456122.2
1418178.1
494984.9
Blue384
116137.5
1629179.7
5243117.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462420100200300400500600700179384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.12.5
167.6170.2
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
blue by 1.6
179.713.4
98.1111.5
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
Second
4456
#30
122.214.5
88.0102.5
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
blue by 15.3
116
#5
137.50.5
121.0120.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.5
End19.9
Third
4949
#36
84.917.8
58.776.5
Auto12.7
Teleop66.8
End5.6
blue by 32.4
5243
#27
117.38.8
92.7101.5
Auto15.0
Teleop95.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed