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Red198
1446102.2
3793115.2
2421148.4
Blue335
2199143.3
2537158.1
449126.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268284100150200250300350400450198335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.48.6
96.5105.1
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
blue by 9.7
2537
#10
158.114.5
88.2102.7
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
Second
3793
#31
115.215.0
83.898.8
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
blue by 28.1
2199
#13
143.37.6
97.3104.8
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Third
1446
#22
102.210.4
81.091.3
Auto14.8
Teleop81.4
End5.8
blue by 23.8
449
#21
126.05.8
103.9109.7
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed