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Red226
6504124.6
4821110.7
2377165.1
Blue382
1885156.2
5338176.6
4505131.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256362100200300400500600226382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.113.6
96.4110.0
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
blue by 11.6
176.61.3
162.6163.9
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
Second
6504
#28
124.60.4
121.2121.6
Auto15.3
Teleop93.4
End17.1
blue by 31.6
156.26.5
122.3128.8
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
Third
4821
#24
110.710.4
74.685.1
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
blue by 20.8
4505
#12
131.46.7
97.0103.7
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed