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Red341
6882142.1
1599141.2
3136103.6
Blue333
4795143.6
2106133.3
1793122.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30132902004006008001,000341333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.10.6
138.7139.3
Auto14.3
Teleop111.1
End18.6
blue by 1.5
4795
#13
143.60.5
142.7143.1
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End17.9
Second
141.20.8
137.0137.8
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
red by 7.9
133.30.4
132.5132.9
Auto16.3
Teleop105.1
End15.2
Third
3136
#33
103.60.2
102.2102.3
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7
blue by 19.0
1793
#19
122.60.0
122.6122.6
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8