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Red367
384158.4
1262183.2
5957107.6
Blue231
6882142.1
1599141.2
3136103.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385281100200500600700367231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.20.3
182.3182.6
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 41.1
142.10.7
141.4142.1
Auto14.3
Teleop111.1
End18.6
Second
384
#6
158.40.4
157.2157.6
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 17.2
141.20.9
140.4141.2
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
Third
5957
#22
107.60.2
107.1107.3
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
red by 4.0
3136
#33
103.60.4
103.2103.6
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7