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Red192
836151.7
6189101.8
206899.8
Blue249
4795143.6
1610145.4
384158.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303300100200300400500600192249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
151.714.0
93.0107.0
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
blue by 6.7
384
#6
158.413.4
98.4111.8
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
Second
6189
#29DQ
101.818.1
56.074.1
Auto11.8
Teleop81.5
End10.6
blue by 43.7
1610
#15
145.414.4
88.7103.2
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Third
2068
#27
99.81.3
94.695.9
Auto16.9
Teleop74.9
End8.7
blue by 43.8
4795
#13
143.616.1
73.389.5
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed