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Red25
5804140.5
159899.3
336199.5
Blue353
6802141.5
1793122.6
1262183.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802895010015020025035040045025353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.514.3
90.1104.4
Auto14.9
Teleop103.5
End24.6
blue by 42.7
183.213.9
94.2108.0
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
Second
3361
#26
99.517.4
61.979.3
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End4.4
blue by 42.0
141.566.8
144.577.7
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End14.8
Third
1598
#34DQ
99.314.9
84.999.8
Auto12.0
Teleop77.0
End12.1
blue by 23.3
1793
#19
122.615.3
80.696.0
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed