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Red181
5957107.6
3939116.2
1086144.2
Blue352
1262183.2
428699.2
5950138.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503280100200300400500600181352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#17
144.29.5
98.3107.8
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
blue by 39.0
183.211.6
108.0119.7
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
Second
3939
#24
116.28.3
88.897.0
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
blue by 22.1
5950
#12
138.310.8
103.7114.5
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
Third
5957
#22
107.610.1
97.8107.9
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
red by 8.5
4286
#32
99.27.2
101.1108.4
Auto13.6
Teleop80.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed