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Red149
602197.4
5954100.1
5279134.7
Blue252
5804140.5
6189101.8
1610145.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255268100200300400500149252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#14
134.78.2
112.0120.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.7
End17.4
blue by 10.7
1610
#15
145.45.3
112.0117.3
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Second
5954
#28
100.19.0
80.089.0
Auto11.4
Teleop79.8
End11.6
blue by 40.4
140.54.1
104.4108.5
Auto14.9
Teleop103.5
End24.6
Third
6021
#30
97.47.2
83.290.4
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End5.9
blue by 4.4
6189
#29DQ
101.810.5
74.184.6
Auto11.8
Teleop81.5
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed