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Red155
3939116.2
540124.3
336199.5
Blue225
1522123.4
2106133.3
384158.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2053180100400500600155225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#18
124.34.2
108.8113.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.2
End16.0
blue by 34.1
384
#6
158.46.9
120.0126.9
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
Second
3939
#24
116.24.0
97.0101.0
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
blue by 17.1
133.35.9
96.5102.3
Auto16.3
Teleop105.1
End15.2
Third
3361
#26
99.54.4
85.790.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End4.4
blue by 23.9
1522
#11
123.46.5
106.8113.3
Auto14.7
Teleop97.3
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed