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Red360
1413135.5
1599141.2
1262183.2
Blue189
5950138.3
602197.4
346155.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252560100200400500600360189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.29.5
119.7129.2
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 27.9
346
#10
155.33.1
122.2125.3
Auto20.8
Teleop109.5
End26.8
Second
141.25.7
109.9115.6
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
red by 3.0
5950
#12
138.39.0
114.5123.5
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
Third
1413
#20
135.56.5
109.3115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7
red by 38.2
6021
#30DQ
97.42.8
90.493.2
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed