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Red415
4795143.6
836151.7
1086144.2
Blue33
5954100.1
6189101.8
1793122.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288246010020040050060041533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
151.75.5
114.8120.3
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
red by 29.1
1793
#19
122.67.8
108.5116.3
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8
Second
1086
#17
144.24.8
107.8112.6
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
red by 42.4
6189
#29DQ
101.88.1
84.692.7
Auto11.8
Teleop81.5
End10.6
Third
4795
#13
143.67.1
99.4106.5
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End17.9
red by 43.5
5954
#28
100.14.0
89.093.0
Auto11.4
Teleop79.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed