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Red48
206899.8
401125.8
3136103.6
Blue268
5804140.5
2028110.9
3258138.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235264010020030040050048268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#21
125.83.6
104.9108.6
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
blue by 14.7
140.53.8
108.5112.3
Auto14.9
Teleop103.5
End24.6
Second
3136
#33
103.63.8
99.5103.3
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7
blue by 34.6
3258
#16
138.23.5
101.7105.2
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
Third
2068
#27
99.80.5
96.496.9
Auto16.9
Teleop74.9
End8.7
blue by 11.2
2028
#23
110.91.3
98.299.5
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed