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Red391
1793122.6
3939116.2
2028110.9
Blue211
602197.4
1908108.8
1086144.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241280100200300400500391211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#19
122.60.3
117.4117.7
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8
blue by 21.6
1086
#17
144.23.8
126.0129.8
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
Second
3939
#24
116.20.8
103.9104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
red by 7.3
1908
#25
108.81.6
114.0115.6
Auto16.4
Teleop84.9
End4.7
Third
2028
#23
110.90.1
101.1100.9
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End11.6
red by 13.6
6021
#30
97.40.8
98.599.3
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed