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Red282
339144.7
336199.5
384158.4
Blue363
1599141.2
346155.3
401125.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318270100200400500600282363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
158.44.3
138.7143.0
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 3.1
346
#10
155.33.9
134.0137.9
Auto20.8
Teleop109.5
End26.8
Second
339
#3
144.75.0
127.1132.0
Auto16.2
Teleop110.1
End23.1
red by 3.5
141.21.2
123.2124.4
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
Third
3361
#26
99.50.9
96.797.6
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End4.4
blue by 26.3
401
#21
125.82.2
108.6110.8
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed