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Red131
428699.2
2998105.4
5957107.6
Blue412
540124.3
1599141.2
206899.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792470100200400500600131412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5957
#22
107.61.4
116.7115.3
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
blue by 33.6
141.21.9
124.4126.3
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
Second
2998
#31
105.40.3
118.2118.5
Auto13.4
Teleop86.5
End2.2
blue by 19.0
540
#18
124.30.8
118.9118.1
Auto15.4
Teleop95.2
End16.0
Third
4286
#32
99.20.8
114.2113.3
Auto13.6
Teleop80.8
End1.2
blue by 0.6
2068
#27
99.80.7
96.095.3
Auto16.9
Teleop74.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed