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Red186
1793122.6
1413135.5
4795143.6
Blue348
3939116.2
2106133.3
401125.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335258100200300400500186348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#13
143.65.2
131.0136.2
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End17.9
red by 10.3
133.34.5
121.0125.5
Auto16.3
Teleop105.1
End15.2
Second
1413
#20
135.52.1
129.1131.2
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7
red by 9.7
401
#21
125.82.5
110.8113.3
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
Third
1793
#19
122.63.0
117.7120.7
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8
red by 6.4
3939
#24
116.23.2
104.6107.8
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed