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Red380
4795143.6
6802141.5
5950138.3
Blue192
1413135.5
540124.3
602197.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368240100200300400500600380192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#13
143.62.1
138.1140.1
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End17.9
red by 8.1
1413
#20
135.52.2
131.2133.4
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7
Second
141.52.7
132.0134.7
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End14.8
red by 17.2
540
#18
124.31.5
120.7122.3
Auto15.4
Teleop95.2
End16.0
Third
5950
#12
138.30.2
136.4136.2
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
red by 40.9
6021
#30
97.40.1
98.798.6
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed