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Red411
1599141.2
1793122.6
336199.5
Blue352
3258138.2
61792.1
3939116.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28026302004006008001,0001,200411352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.22.6
132.1134.7
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
red by 3.1
3258
#16
138.25.1
123.5128.7
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
Second
1793
#19
122.60.3
121.6121.9
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8
red by 6.4
3939
#24
116.20.3
114.5114.8
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
Third
3361
#26
99.50.6
100.7100.0
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End4.4
red by 7.4
617
#35
92.11.9
94.392.4
Auto12.5
Teleop75.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed