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Red390
5804140.5
401125.8
836151.7
Blue258
1086144.2
206899.8
346155.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348297100200400500600390258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
151.71.2
147.9149.0
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
blue by 3.6
346
#10
155.33.4
147.3150.7
Auto20.8
Teleop109.5
End26.8
Second
140.52.0
134.8136.9
Auto14.9
Teleop103.5
End24.6
blue by 3.7
1086
#17
144.23.6
136.7140.3
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
Third
401
#21
125.82.0
119.5121.5
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
red by 26.0
2068
#27
99.81.6
96.698.2
Auto16.9
Teleop74.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed