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Red208
2998105.4
384158.4
3136103.6
Blue312
6802141.5
5957107.6
6189101.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892530100200400500208312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
158.42.9
150.8153.6
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 16.9
141.52.6
134.7137.3
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End14.8
Second
2998
#31
105.43.8
112.1108.3
Auto13.4
Teleop86.5
End2.2
blue by 2.3
5957
#22
107.61.3
107.6106.3
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
Third
3136
#33
103.61.4
100.2101.6
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7
red by 1.8
6189
#29
101.80.1
100.7100.9
Auto11.8
Teleop81.5
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed