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Red248
5954100.1
1610145.4
1413135.5
Blue292
5950138.3
6882142.1
1522123.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276327150200250300350400450500248292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#15
145.40.5
142.0142.5
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
red by 3.3
142.12.3
134.7137.0
Auto14.3
Teleop111.1
End18.6
Second
1413
#20
135.50.7
133.4134.1
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7
blue by 2.7
5950
#12
138.30.7
136.2136.9
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
Third
5954
#28
100.10.5
98.999.4
Auto11.4
Teleop79.8
End11.6
blue by 23.3
1522
#11
123.40.9
121.8122.6
Auto14.7
Teleop97.3
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed