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Red143
540124.3
3136103.6
3258138.2
Blue242
336199.5
836151.7
6882142.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992280100400500600143242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#16
138.29.2
92.5101.7
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
blue by 13.5
836
#8
151.77.8
107.0114.8
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
Second
540
#18
124.310.3
98.5108.8
Auto15.4
Teleop95.2
End16.0
blue by 17.8
142.111.8
77.789.6
Auto14.3
Teleop111.1
End18.6
Third
3136
#33
103.69.6
89.999.5
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7
red by 4.1
3361
#26
99.56.4
79.385.7
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed