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Red270
1599141.2
339144.7
61792.1
Blue195
401125.8
159899.3
1413135.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28325702004006008001,000270195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#3
144.712.2
87.299.4
Auto16.2
Teleop110.1
End23.1
red by 9.2
1413
#20
135.510.0
99.3109.3
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7
Second
141.28.5
101.4109.9
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
red by 15.4
401
#21
125.85.8
99.2104.9
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
Third
617
#35DQ
92.110.3
81.892.1
Auto12.5
Teleop75.9
End1.9
blue by 7.2
1598
#34DQ
99.34.5
99.8104.3
Auto12.0
Teleop77.0
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed