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Red195
612125.9
4472165.6
6504120.1
Blue362
3274118.4
422146.4
141129.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313323150200250350400450500550195362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.60.5
164.8165.3
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
red by 19.2
422
#10
146.40.6
145.2145.8
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
Second
612
#15
125.90.2
125.6125.8
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
blue by 3.6
141
#19
129.50.8
127.8128.6
Auto13.8
Teleop104.2
End13.1
Third
6504
#27
120.10.6
119.1119.7
Auto13.9
Teleop89.0
End17.3
red by 1.7
3274
#22
118.40.6
117.1117.7
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2