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Red353
614157.6
316152.7
3373124.9
Blue250
623148.3
5338161.0
6334119.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337332250300350400450353250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
157.60.3
156.6156.9
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
blue by 3.4
161.00.6
160.4161.0
Auto18.9
Teleop113.7
End32.5
Second
316
#4
152.70.8
150.3151.1
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
red by 4.4
623
#12
148.30.3
148.0148.3
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
Third
3373
#28
124.90.1
124.7124.8
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
red by 5.6
6334
#24
119.30.3
119.0119.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5