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Quarterfinal 4-12018 CHS District Northern Virginia Event
Red365
614157.6
316152.7
3373124.9
Blue226
623148.3
5338161.0
6334119.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32634402004006008001,000365226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
157.60.3
156.3→156.6
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
blue by 3.4
5338
#9
161.00.7
159.7→160.4
Auto18.9
Teleop113.7
End32.5
Second
316
#4
152.70.9
149.4→150.3
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
red by 4.4
623
#12
148.30.5
147.5→148.0
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
Third
3373
#28
124.90.0
124.7→124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
red by 5.6
6334
#24
119.30.4
118.5→119.0
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5