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Quarterfinal 2-22018 CHS District Northern Virginia Event
Red404
612125.9
4472165.6
6504120.1
Blue259
2534145.9
3941132.7
2988115.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337301100200400500600404259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#6
165.60.4
163.3→163.6
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
red by 19.7
2534
#11
145.90.3
145.7→145.9
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
Second
612
#15
125.90.0
125.3→125.3
Auto19.0
Teleop95.7
End9.6
blue by 6.8
3941
#8
132.70.5
132.2→132.7
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End14.8
Third
6504
#27
120.10.6
116.7→117.3
Auto13.9
Teleop89.0
End17.3
red by 5.0
2988
#16
115.20.4
114.8→115.2
Auto14.1
Teleop95.5
End6.6